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Influence of Weather on Home Location Choice

  • Writer: Adam Garrett
    Adam Garrett
  • Apr 9, 2024
  • 13 min read

Updated: Jul 10

Annual snowfall map in contiguous United States

This guide forms an integral part of my area guide.


Environmental Factors:

FEMA's Composite Weather Risk Index

FEMA has created a composite weather risk index of expected annual loss * social vulnerability/ community resilience. They have done that across a wide variety of potential weather-related hazards. There are areas of SE VA that range from the very low zone (i.e. Surry, Petersburg, & Williamsburg) to the relatively moderate zone (i.e. Newport News & Virginia Beach). No states on the Golf Coast or the East Coast south of VA can make such a claim. All those states have at least 1 city or county that's relatively high or very high.


Here's the VA map from FEMA:

FEMA map of composite weather risk index by county throughout VA, showing parts of West Virginia, Maryland, DC, Delaware, New Jersey, & Pennsylvania

Here's the US Map from FEMA, which shows just how well VA fares compared to the other parts of the US Coast:

FEMA map of composite weather risk index by county throughout contiguous USA

When you break things down further into census tracks, you definitely get a better idea:

FEMA map of composite weather risk index by census tract throughout VA, showing parts of West Virginia, Maryland, DC, Delaware, New Jersey, & Pennsylvania

Here's that same view, spread throughout the US, showing VA superior to states south of it and in comparison to all western states:

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Keep in mind though, that even in a "relatively high" census tract, some areas may be better off than other census tracts with "relatively low" rating. For instance, I live in a "relatively high" census tract in part because the specific location with the tract is well insulated from some of the very negatives that pull down the tract as a whole.

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Here is a zoomed-in hurricane evacuation zone

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Here are the relatively high indices in my tract:

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However, I'm not in an AE or X-500 flood zone, not in a hurricane evacuation zone, have minimal threat of landslides occurring, and have no trees on or adjacent to my property that could come crashing down on the house. In addition, I live less than half a mile from a hospital, so if a power outage were to occur, my area would likely be some of the first to receive power again. Likewise, if trees were to come down on roads, my area would likely be some of the first to be cleared.

FEMA's Composite Expected Annual Weather Loss

Unsurprisingly for most, the locations closest to the coast typically have some of the highest risks of loss due to weather:

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When compared to the rest of the SE Coast, we're doing relatively well:

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When compared to the West Coast and many parts of the center of the country, we're also doing well:

One element that's also interesting is that the risk isn't universal whatsoever even very close to the coast. It can be a bit confusing though. There are some cases where the risk is low in a tract because there aren't many homes or other construction in that area and/or the structures present are low cost.

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That's not always the case though.

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In the above example in Virginia Beach, the low weather loss is not for lack of high-end homes in that location either, with the 2 homes that sold in the top right each selling for over $1,500,000:

Lynwood in Virginia Beach Aerial View w/ Recent Home Sales
Image courtesy REIN MLS Matrix

If we compare the above to the hurricane evacuation zone map, we see that the area has lower risk than some of the surrounding areas, in blue (Zone D) below to signify the 2nd to lowest risk zone :

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FEMA's Composite Social Vulnerability

'

Isle of Wight County Virginia   Social Vulnerability Social Vulnerability is Relatively Low Score 34.12 National Percentile 34.12 Percentile Within Virginia 43.60 0 100 Social groups in Isle of Wight County, VA have a Relatively Low susceptibility to the adverse impacts of natural hazards when compared to the rest of the U.S.  Calculating Social Vulnerability Social Vulnerability is measured using the Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) published by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC).  For more information, visit the National Risk Index website's Social Vulnerability page.
Social Vulnerability Map United States Weather Natural Disasters Finances Income Resources Risk
Social Vulnerability Map Virginia Weather Natural Disasters Finances Income Resources Risk

FEMA's Composite Community Resilience

Communities in Suffolk City, VA have a Very High ability to prepare for anticipated natural hazards, adapt to changing conditions, and withstand and recover rapidly from disruptions when compared to the rest of the U.S.  Calculating Community Resilience Community Resilience is measured at the County level using the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (HVRI BRIC) published by the University of South Carolina's Hazards and Vulnerability Research Institute (HVRI).
Community Resilience Map United States Weather Natural Disasters Finances Income Resources Risk
Community Resilience Map Virginia Weather Natural Disasters Finances Income Resources Risk
Community Resilience Map Virginia Weather Natural Disasters Finances Income Resources Risk

Air Quality & Sickness by Area

Best Air Pollutant Map Options by National Institute of Health


Best Air Pollutant Particulate Matter Map of US by County:

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Map of Particulate Matter by County/City in VA:

Accomack Albemarle Alexandria (city) Alleghany Amelia Amherst Appomattox Arlington Augusta Bath Bedford Bland Botetourt Bristol (city) Brunswick Buchanan Buckingham Buena Vista (city) Campbell Caroline Carroll Charles City Charlotte Charlottesville (city) Chesapeake (city) Chesterfield Clarke Colonial Heights (city) Covington (city) Craig Culpeper Cumberland Danville (city) Dickenson Dinwiddie Emporia (city) Essex Fairfax Fairfax (city) Falls Church (city) Fauquier Floyd Fluvanna Franklin Franklin (city) Frederick Fredericksburg (city) Galax (city) Giles Gloucester Goochland Grayson Greene Greensville Halifax Hampton (city) Hanover Harrisonburg (city) Henrico Henry Highland Hopewell (city) Isle of Wight James City King and Queen King George King William Lancaster Lee Lexington (city) Loudoun Louisa Lunenburg Lynchburg (city) Madison Manassas (city) Manassas Park (city) Martinsville (city) Mathews Mecklenburg Middlesex Montgomery Nelson New Kent Newport News (city) Norfolk (city) Northampton Northumberland Norton (city) Nottoway Orange Page Patrick Petersburg (city) Pittsylvania Poquoson (city) Portsmouth (city) Powhatan Prince Edward Prince George Prince William Pulaski Radford (city) Rappahannock Richmond Richmond (city) Roanoke Roanoke (city) Rockbridge Rockingham Russell Salem (city) Scott Shenandoah Smyth Southampton Spotsylvania Stafford Staunton (city) Suffolk (city) Surry Sussex Tazewell Virginia Beach (city) Warren Washington Waynesboro (city) Westmoreland Williamsburg (city) Winchester (city) Wise Wythe York


Map of Failed Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) Locations:

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Spreadsheet of most polluted cities in VA (though many cities missing from their rankings)

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Within SE VA,

Richmond is #10/42 above

Chesterfield is #14/42

Petersburg is #17/42 below

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Within SE VA,

Hampton #29/42

Mechanicsville #31/42

Norfolk #42/42

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See more covering a wide range (i.e. sickness & comparing local cities/counties) on the subject here:

Air Quality & Sickness by Area

Dangerous Animals & Insects

See termites section as well.


Whether you're considering deer on the road, bear, sharks, mountain lions, Florida panthers, alligators, American crocodiles, gray wolves (though no lethal attacks have been recorded), brown recluses, scorpions, or venomous snakes, bees, or more, there are a lot of animals, including insects, amphibians, insects, & arachnids, that can kill you. Notably some are missing in the map below, i.e.

Where you're most likely to run into wildlife that could kill you

Drought Map 2000-Present & Precipitation Map

Drought.gov has some solid drought resources, i.e.:

Drought Map of United States Over Time
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Climate.gov has a solid precipitation map:

Precipitation Map of US by Climate.gov

Earthquakes

Earthquakes aren't much of an issue in Virginia with relatively rare exceptions (i.e. Threechopt).

Earthquake Map of Virginia by census tract per FEMA National Risk Index

That can't be said throughout the rest of the US, & even the East Coast has a hotspot in South Carolina:

Earthquake Map of United States by census tract per FEMA National Risk Index

Elevation

Wild Fire Risk Map

Here's a VA map from FEMA, with the majority of the state in "Very Low" risk:

FEMA map of wild fire risk by county throughout VA, showing parts of West Virginia, Maryland, DC, Delaware, New Jersey, etc.

Here's a US map from FEMA:

FEMA map of wild fire risk by county

Fishing & Shellfish

Takemefishing.org has a resource that shows boat ramps, marinas, pictures of fish caught nearby submitted by users, the ability to filter waters by species, & more.

Takemefishing.org has a resource that shows boat ramps, marinas, pictures of fish caught nearby submitted by users, the ability to filter waters by species, & more.

VMRC has a resource that states the dividing lines between freshwater & saltwater fishing in VA. That's helpful for licensing and for fish to go for.


Here is a solid resource for deep-sea fishing from northern NC to Maine, showing where the highest concentrations of certain species were from 2010-2019:

Here is a solid resource for deep-sea fishing from northern NC to Maine, showing where the highest concentrations of certain species were from 2010-2019:

Flood Zones

A home's location in a flood zone can cost anywhere from hundreds to thousands of dollars annually in flood insurance, not to mention the anxiety inherent in every storm that comes where you wonder how your home will fare, in some cases making preparations "just in case". While I don't recommend that all rule out flood zones, it's not a bad idea for many. Also keep in mind that X500 zones in hurricane evacuation zone A are much more likely than elsewhere to become AE zones (where flood insurance becomes required on a mortgage and where I still recommend it on a cash deal).


How to See a Flood Zone with Matrix MLS (the primary MLS portal brand used in SE VA & in many other MLS around the country)

Flood Map (type in address at top)

Information from FEMA on Flood Maps


Many are familiar with coastal flooding in VA, but flooding can be an inland issue as well. Here's a Riverene flood map of VA from FEMA.

Counties in SE VA range from the very low zone (i.e. Surry, Petersburg, Suffolk, New Kent County, Charles City County, James City County, Middlesex County, Kin & Queen County, King William County, Richmond County, Westmoreland County, Prince George County, Dinwiddie County, & Williamsburg)

to the relatively moderate zone (i.e. Norfolk, Virginia Beach, Hampton, Chesapeake, Mathews, Portsmouth, Richmond) VA:

FEMA map of coastal flood zones by county throughout VA, showing parts of West Virginia, Maryland, DC, Delaware, New Jersey, & Pennsylvania

Here's a US Riverene flood map from FEMA:

FEMA map of riverene flood zones by county throughout contiguous USA

Here's what most people think of when they think of VA flooding, a coastal flood map from FEMA, where VA enters into relatively high territory in Accomack County on the Eastern Shore:

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Here's that same map on a national scale from FEMA:

FEMA map of coastal flood zones by county throughout contiguous USA


Flood Zone % in 2020 & projected in 2050 in Hampton, James City County, New Kent County, Charles City County, Newport News, Poquoson, Toano, Williamsburg, York County, Chesapeake, Norfolk, Portsmouth, Virginia Beach, Franklin, Isle of Wight County, Smithfield, Southampton County

See more SE VA cities/counties on the SE VA City Information & Real Estate Property Info linked spreadsheet in the environment tab.

Flood Zone % in 2020 & projected in 2050 in Suffolk, Surry County, Sussex County, & Gloucester County in VA

Here's an example of my father's house (from a Matrix portal view as part of a home search integrated into the listing) in a flood zone (his primary residence & mine starting my freshman year of college in 2004 when back home from school, now his rental after downsizing) & an example of how some looking for waterfront may not want to rule out flood zones completely. It was his favorite property in VA prior to purchasing it:

Flood zone map of home showing AE flood zone & X500 on aerial image of waterfront property in York County VA

image courtesy MLSMatrix.com

Gardening & Grass Zones

Here you can get an idea of growing season for your garden and grass from Virginia Places:

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You can type in zip codes in the map below:

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Humidity

While humidity doesn't mean much to most without also knowing temperature (see temperature below), here's a solid humidity map I found published by Forbes:

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Here's a ranking of VA cities/counties by humidity level. Surprisingly, some SE VA cities/counties rank low % humidity levels, in the bottom 20 (which is great news for those considering SE VA), like Richmond, Portsmouth, Norfolk, Surry, Hampton, and Isle of Wight County.

Hurricane Evacuation Zones

Hurricane evacuation zones are where properties, even those not in flood zones, are evacuated (sometimes with mandatory evacuations) based on the zone they are in. It's dangerous to remain in one even if there's no chance that the home itself will get flooded because emergency response teams could have difficulty getting there in the event of an emergency, such as a fire truck or an ambulance.


VA Map (other states below courtesy VDOM):

Virginia Hurricane Evacuation Zone Map

Images below courtesy VDEMGIS

National Hurricane Center Storm Surge Risk Maps focusing on East Coast & Gulf of Mexico

The white section above would seem to paint a darker picture than reality, but it simply means that you should look more closely.

Here's how that looks zoomed in if a category 1 storm hit:

Storm surge risk map of NE North Carolina & SE Virginia for a category 1 hurricane

Here's how that looks at category 4:

Storm surge risk map of East Virginia for a category 4 hurricane

The statistical probability of a category 5 storm hitting VA is low, thus why VA & states north of it aren't included on the category 5 map below:

Storm surge risk map of SE US, excluding VA, for a category 5 hurricane

County by County Map for US (2020)

ME

NY

MA

DE

MD

VA above

NC

SC

GA (Bryan, Chatham, Glynn, McIntosh)

FL


Tips on Evacuations from FEMA


For Adam's clients:

If creating a search with me, ask me about the search templates I've spent dozens of hours creating to avoid hurricane evacuation zones in case you'd like to avoid hurricane evacuation zones in SE VA. I'm unaware of any other agents in SE VA that have spent that kind of time to create a similarly detailed way to avoid hurricane evacuation zones.

REIN MLS Matrix Search excluding hurricane evacuation zones in Hampton, Newport News, Poquoson, York County, Williamsburg, Gloucester County, Mathews County, Middlesex County, Eastern Shore, Virginia Beach, Norfolk, Portsmouth, Suffolk, & Isle of Wight County

More VA hurricane info

Power Outage Map

While the data only pulls from 2018-2020, which is a significant limitation here is the best power outage map by county that I could find:

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Zooming into the area around VA, here is how that looks:

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I also have a section on "How to Prepare for a Power Outage in Extreme Cold" in my article Prepping Homes For Extreme Cold.

Radon Zones (VA; US):

While there is radon in every zone, those in yellow have the lowest risk of issues.

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Image courtesy VDH

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Image courtesy EPA


For Adam's clients:

While I'm not certified in any capacity to test for radon, my clients (current & former) are welcome to borrow my Ecosense RadonEye radon tester to use on a property under contract or on their existing home.

Snowfall Map

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Annual snowfall map in contiguous United States

There are pros and cons to snowfall.


Cons:

  • More accidents on the road

  • More vehicle deterioration from salted roads including rust issues

  • Higher cost of heating & higher insulation needs in colder areas

  • Higher impetus for an attached garage. In mild climate places like SE VA, often garages are used for storage rather than to store vehicles.

  • More reason to have a significant roof pitch that's more costly

  • Lower growing season & certain plants that are not cold tolerant that may not survive


Pros:

  • The beauty of snow

  • Certain plants thrive with snow & need frost, like cranberries.

  • Places that snow are more likely to have lower cooling costs in the Summer.

  • Snow enables a wide variety of winter sports & related activities, like ice skating outside & related sports like ice hockey, snow tubing, dogsledding, ice climbing, snowball fights, going for a sleigh ride with a horse, broomball, snow football, snow rugby, etc. I've personally enjoyed all of those.

    • Ice skating is much easier to replicate in warm locations than snow skiing. In Hampton Roads, Virginia Beach, Chesapeake, & Yorktown each have year round skating rinks, while others have popped up seasonally such as in Williamsburg & Norfolk. Around Richmond, year round ice skating rinks may be found in places like Richmond, Chesterfield, and Glen Allen.

  • Perhaps the most popular sport that snowfall enables is downhill skiing. When considering places with warm water at least 5 months a year, SE VA has the closest proximity in the US to go from the ocean to a mountain with recreational downhill skiing. North Carolina has some good downhill skiing too, but you'll need to travel significantly farther to get there from the ocean.

Temperatures


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I saw the above and wondered about July. I was right to, since it's the hottest month of the year. Here are some metrics for July per NOAA:

Year

Highest Temp City/County July Average

Highest Temp Counties

Lowest Temp City/County July Average

Lowest Temp Counties

Averages:

80.77

Norfolk

69.24

Highly County

2023

81.3

Norfolk & Portsmouth

69.5

Grayson County

2022

81.2

Norfolk & Portsmouth

69.7

Highland County

2021

79.9

Norfolk

68.3

Grayson County

2020

83.6

Norfolk

70.7

Grayson County

2019

81.3

Norfolk

69.6

Grayson County

2018

78.8

Norfolk

68.9

Highland County

2017

81.6

York County

69.3

Highland County

2016

81.6

Norfolk

71.3

Highland County

2015

80.0

Norfolk

69.3

Highland County

2014

78.4

Hopewell City

65.8

Highland County

In a year where the top high was very close to the average top high for the last 10 years, 2002, here's what that looked like on a map:

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Here's the spreadsheet for a county by county view.


If you have 1.5+ floors, a single zone, & >3°F temperature differential between floors:

You may or may not be aware, but there are ways to reduce the discomfort of this scenario & reduce the disparity present in your home beyond adding insulation & otherwise. The optimized temperature setting is typically more like 68 if in the Summer & there is a large temperature differential between downstairs & upstairs & you have a single zone. In this case if you have a 1.5+ story home you also may want to adjust your vents if you haven't already to be more open on the higher floor(s) & less open on the lower floors).

That said, if you've used some of the above methods & it's still a high temperature differential between floors, you may want to take a look in your attic to see the insulation levels. If Adam's your agent, ask Adam to borrow a ladder if you have scuttle access only & you don't have a ladder; he also has a thermal imaging camera etc. If adding insulation is warranted, here's a handy map from EnergyStar, w/ SE VA being in zone 3A & 4A where R49-R60 is recommended in the attic:

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This Site by Climate Impact Lab has a Number of Excellent Maps, Including but Not Limited to:

Average December-February Temperatures:

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Average June-August Temperatures:

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For a Heat Wave Map, Washington Post has a Great Option:

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Termites

Homeguide has a good termite inspection cost guide.


Throughout VA, we are in an area where termites are considered to be moderate to heavy:

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Tornado Risk Map

Here's a VA map from FEMA, that shows that Virginia's Southern neighbor North Carolina & neighbors to the immediate west excluding West Virginia aren't fairing very well when it comes to tornados by comparison.

FEMA map of tornado risk zones by census tract throughout VA, showing parts of West Virginia, Maryland, DC, Delaware, New Jersey, & Pennsylvania

Here's a US map from FEMA:

FEMA map of tornado risk zones by census tract throughout the contiguous United States

Coastal, Chesapeake Bay, & Tributary Water Temperature

One of the most common water temperature elements that people want to know is water temperature averages, whether for fishing or playing:

average water temperature by month in Yorktown, VA by Seatemperature.info
average water temperature by day in Virginia Beach, VA by Surf-forecast.com/

Image courtesy Surf Forecast


The Gulf Stream flows close to the Outer Banks of North Carolina before going back out to the Atlantic, giving VA the beauty of water that's warmer than it would be otherwise, easy access to warmer waters with a drive to the Outer Banks when a hurricane isn't coming (for most, that is), & not nearly the hurricane & tornado threat of North Carolina's east coast that contributes significantly to East North Caorlina's overall environmental risk scores I show at the top of this article.

Water temperatures showing golf stream by Outer Banks of North Carolina & most of East Coast excluding most of Florida by NOAA
Water temperatures of East Coast, E Canada, Caribbean, & northern South America by NOAA

That's one of the top reasons why the states south of VA have more issues with hurricanes, tornados, & floods. While it doesn't flow directly by VA, its impact is still felt in giving us warmer water than our West Coast & NE neighbors on the coast. Above Virginia on the NE coast, away from the jet stream, the temperature rapidly deteriorates in a way not present on the West Coast.

United states water temperatures per National Centers for Environmental Information

 In addition, our Chesapeake Bay and its tributaries tend to heat up faster than the ocean every year. Look at the difference between 64.8 degrees on the bay side and 51.8 degrees on the ocean side near the central top 2/4 measurements below in this 4/16/24 measurement:

Water temperature in Chesapeake Bay, it's tributaries, & on east coast of Virginia on 4.16.24 per National Centers for Environmental Information Coastal Water Temperature Guide

Wetlands Map

If you plan on making changes to your property especially, whether you want to install a tennis court, addition, or widen your driveway, a location near wetlands, especially salt water wetlands, can put an expensive damper on your plans if you really want to complete that project. With saltwater wetlands (marine) you'll typically need a 100' buffer between the wetlands zone and any building.

Here's a US map for locating wetlands. Here's how that looks locally:

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Wind Map

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US Map:

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Homes in SE VA vary in terms of the wind ratings needed in the building code:

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Wind Chill Map

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Related:


Overarching Related:



About the Author: Adam Garrett - 3rd Generation REALTOR®

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Adam is the 3rd generation in a line of award-winning real estate agents serving SE VA. He has served full time at Garrett Realty Partners since May 2014 when he joined the marketing department before transitioning to full-time sales to assist buyers and sellers in February 2015. He believes that an educated buyer or seller makes the best decisions, & is dedicated to helping with that both digitally & on-site physically for buyers & sellers. He's also available for referrals to real estate agents around the globe. In several capacities, his resources & direct offerings for assisting sellers & assisting buyers are either unmatched or are top 1% for the SE VA area, and in some cases, nationwide. Not stopping after closing, he also provides information for tenants, landlords, & homeowners.


Related for Buyers:


Related for Sellers:


Contact Adam


While Adam can refer buyers and sellers elsewhere, Adam’s cities/counties covered directly include most of SE VA excluding the Eastern Shore:


Amelia County,

Charles City County,

Chesapeake,

Chesterfield County,

Colonial Heights,

Dinwiddie County, 

Essex County,

Franklin,

Gloucester County,

Goochland County,

Hampton,

Hanover County,

Henrico County,

Hopewell,

Isle of Wight County, 

James City County,

King William County,

King & Queen County,

Lancaster County,

Mathews County,

Middlesex County,

New Kent County,

Newport News,

Northumberland County,

Nottoway County,

Petersburg

Poquoson,

Portsmouth,

Powhatan County,

Prince George County,

Richmond (City of),

Richmond County,

Southampton County,

Suffolk, 

Surry County, 

Sussex County,

Virginia Beach, 

Williamsburg, 

York County,


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